24 Ways World Is Better - Famine Hugely Reduced - Literacy Soaring - Life Expectancy Up - Degraded Landscapes Restored, ... good news journalists rarely share

24 Ways World Is Better - Famine Hugely Reduced - Literacy Soaring - Life Expectancy Up - Degraded Landscapes Restored, ...

- good news journalists rarely share
Robert Walker

You can always find bad news if you look for it.With the internet and social media we learn about every bad thing that happens throughout the entire world almost instantly. However the good news doesn't get shared so much. For instance how many of you are aware of the vast amount of work being done worldwide to restore eroded damaged landscapes (see below). How many people share them? Hardly anyone.

While working on my posts for the Debunking Doomsday blog, I come across a lot of good news that never gets into the mainstream media. Sharing some of them may help those of you who get depressed and scared by the journalist exaggerations and pessimism.

How many people know that life expectancy worldwide is increasing, hunger decreasing, access to drinking water and clean water for sanitation increasing poverty decreasing, literacy increasing, access to internet increasing, child mortality decreasing and all those things?

Out of 100 people I doubt if even 10 would know that

This is another article I'm writing to support people we help in the Facebook Doomsday Debunked group, that find us because they get scared, sometimes to the point of feeling suicidal about it, by such stories.

Do share this with your friends if you find it useful, as they may be panicking too.

Short summary

Close to universal literacy in many countries, few with less than half unable to read and write
Women now have the vote everywhere that men do - Saudi Arabia held out until 2017
Life expectancy at birth gone up hugely (including a major reduction in mortality for young children).
Huge reductions in large scale famine
Child mortality (before age 5) way down
The number of hungry people is down (though with some setbacks due to conflict and global warming effects)
Childhood deaths from the five most lethal infectious diseases worldwide way down:
Renewables growing rapidly - in many places not needing incentives any more, it’s less cost and better return to do a new renewables plant, and that trend is going to continue.
Access to an improved water source improving:
Much fewer die of natural disasters (better warning and better prepared e.g. improved building standards)
Population leveling off due to prosperity rather than scarcity, already reached close to peak child and our population grows because we are living longer
Death rate from wars way down:
Large parts of the world are in nuclear weapon free zones, including nearly all the southern hemisphere:
Greatly reduced tensions in North / South Korea.
Internet access increased hugely in less than 20 years
Our world is greening due to a CO2 fertilization effect, only a small part of the world, less than 4%, show a browning effect. Many areas have an increase in leaf area of more than 50%.
Restoration of degraded land worldwide (many videos below)
Many measures that countries are taking to help support pollination of their crops.
Saved the ozone layer which is continuing to heal every year (the recent news about CFC -11 in China is no more than a short term glitch, the layer is still healing, just a bit more slowly until they catch the perpetrators, see China confirmed as source of rise in CFCs).
Saved giant panda, and humpback whale (and many other species)
Established seed vaults for our seed crops and many of our seeds worldwide.
Huge progress in climate change - lots that needs to be done but remarkable what we have done in just two years
Found a solution for biodiversity loss and it is practical and governments have shown initial interest by approving the summary for policy makers
Have large numbers of huge telescopes out looking for asteroids every day, found all the 10 km ones and just about all 1 km ones and advance warning enough time to evacuate a city of 50% of the smallest ones.
(To put it in perspective if the Egyptians had set up an early warning system we’d still be waiting for the first city-killer impact0

You can find many more - try looking out for your own good news stories, as you come across them. They are rare in the news, but not because they are rare in real life. It is because people want to buy and read the bad news rather than the good news, find it more dramatic and exciting.

So you can offset that a bit by looking out for whatever stories you find cool, interesting, encouraging or good news. And then take a note of them for the future to remind yourself that good things do happen, all the time. Good things in your personal life too (instead of just the bad things)

In detail:

Some of the good things that are happening

Close to universal literacy in many countries

There are few countries where less than half the population are unable to read and write.

Literacy

Women now have the vote everywhere that men do

- Saudi Arabia held out until 2017

Women’s Suffrage in Saudi Arabia

Universal suffrage granted to women

Note - there are a fair few places where there is no vote - e.g. absolute monarchies like the Sultan of Oman - and places where there is a vote but it is symbolic e.g. in North Korea where there is only one candidate and it is compulsory for everyone to vote so you get close to 100% turnout all voting for the same candidate, and places without a government temporarily such as Northern Ireland as of writing this. See comment

But this is about gender equality and wherever men can vote, women can also. See comment.

Ordered milestones of women's political representation

Life expectancy at birth gone up hugely

(including a major reduction in mortality for young children).

Huge reductions in large scale famine and increases in food security

The FAO has an Early Warning Early Action initiative to help reduce the impact of disasters at an early stage before they escalate into an emergency. They publish their reports quarterly, looking into the world regions in detail with recommendations for specific countries at risk.

This for instance is their global risk analysis for April - June 2019. The report includes specific recomendations for each of the at risk regions highlighted in red or pink in this map.

As an example, the FAO forecasted the 2005–6 Niger food famine, due to locusts

Niger: a famine foretold

We have an emergency food fund now of $1 billion a year - originally it was $50 million, then increased to $500 million and this was doubled in December 2016 in the UN resolution A/RES/71/127

And undernourishment is down from nearly 35% in 1970 to 13% in 2017 in developing countries.

For all cereals the stock to use ratio is 30%. I.e. if we had a world shortfall of 30% in one year, we could supply it with left over cereals from previous years. Also in sugar (50% stock to use ratio)

FAO Cereal Supply and Demand Brief and more extensive summary for two year period ending 2018
USDA-Office of the Chief Economist - World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

Of course they don't keep vast stocks of meat in the same way but the very worst case of a shortfall of 10% is that you don't eat quite as much meat as usual, you are not going to starve as we are already resilient to a shortfall in cereals.

Child mortality (before age 5) way down

Global Health

The number of hungry people is down

(though with some setbacks due to conflict and global warming effects)

Hunger and Undernourishment

Childhood deaths from the five most lethal infectious diseases worldwide way down:

Global Health

Renewables growing rapidly

- in many places not needing incentives any more, it’s less cost and better return to do a new renewables plant, and that trend is going to continue.

Renewable Energy

If you got discouraged by the recent Australia election result, don’t be. Renewables are soaring in Australia which has lots of renewable possibilities, virtually all of its new power stations have been renewables, and it's now competitive to build a renewables power station even without subsidies and without carbon capture and storage for coal.

Australia will still be strong in renewables after ‘losing’ the climate vote - and each government is only for three years

Access to an improved water source improving:

Water Use and Sanitation

Much fewer die of natural disasters

(better warning and better prepared e.g. improved building standards)

Natural Disasters

Population leveling off due to prosperity rather than scarcity

Already reached close to peak child and our population grows because we are living longer

World Population Growth

Reduced tendency for the “great powers” to fight each other.

Death rate from wars way down:

Number of deaths per 100,000 population per year from State-based battles.

So - world wars 1 and 2 really stand out of course, the dashed line here shows the number of deaths per 100,000 per year.

Then - if we look at the right hand half of that graph, then it is still decreasing since 1946:

State-based battle-related deaths per 100,000 since 1946

There are more battles but the battles are smaller with fewer killed per battle. It’s partly because the world has split up into more and smaller countries since WW2

World War III unlikely - trend in opposite direction, to smaller wars and fewer casualties not large ones - and reduced tendency for the great powers to fight each other

Large parts of the world are in nuclear weapon free zones

This includes nearly all the southern hemisphere:

That’s no small achievement.

Greatly reduced tensions in North / South Korea.

I know they haven’t achieved nuclear disarmament yet, but they are still talking and are not back to the threats before the Kim - Trump summit. Doesn’t seem likely they will either. And greatly improved relations between North and South Korea. What has the Kim - Trump summit achieved?

Internet access increased hugely in less than 20 years

Internet

Our world is greening due to a CO2 fertilization effect

Only a small part of the world, less than 4%, show a browning effect. Many areas have an increase in leaf area of more than 50%. Since the 1980s, enough new leaves have sprouted to cover twice the area of mainland United States

Rising CO2 has 'greened' world's plants and trees | Carbon Brief

In another study, then from the early 2000s, the leaf area has increased by 5%, an area equivalent to all of the Amazon rainforests. One-third of Earth’s vegetated lands are greening, while 5 percent are growing browner. The study was published on February 11, 2019

China and India Lead the Way in Greening

Restoration of degraded land worldwide

As an example, this project in China greened the Löss Plateau, which is the size of Belgium - you might think this is image manipulation, but no, this is a real project:

Loss Plateau in September 1995

Loess Plateau in September 2009. See Greening the desert

It is amazing what they did in China's Loess province,. This documentary, “Hope in a Changing Climate” - by the soil scientist John D. Liu (2009) covers the project right from the start when it was almost a desert landscape. The second half of the video covers how similar projects have transformed regions in Ethiopia and Rwanda.

Video here:

For a cost of around half a billion dollars, most of this is from Restoring China's Loess Plateau

More than 2.5 million people were lifted out of poverty, and incomes doubled, employment increased from 70 to 87%.
Output per capita increased from 0.366 metric tons to 0.591 metric tons per year
Food security ensured, before the project frequent droughts required occasional government food aid. Now it has changed from a narrow range of food and low-value grain to high value products.
Ecological balance restored in a vast area considered to be beyond help by many.
Sedimentation of waterways dramatically reduced. Soil erosion was reduced from 6579.55 tons per square kilometer per year to 1986.66 tons.
By 2000 they had conserved 177,000 square kilometers of eroded land with perennial vegetation increased from 17 to 34 percent.

This is another such project in Kenya

Kenya: Greening the desert in Turkana | ICN

This is about several similar projects in the Peruvian coastal zone, which is arid but has moist air comes in from the Pacific. Four new agricultural projects there are growing pomegranates, sweet potatoes, asparagus and cut flowers.

This is one in the Los Monegros Desert, Zaragoze Spain

This is another project in Mexico

396 - Rehabilitation of eroded land in Mexico

And a later video about John di Liu which has some material from his earlier video and some new material for instance about another project in Jordan and also returning to the projects in China and Ethiopia.

This is another vjdeo about reversing desertification in Iran

In Australia

And Nepal

For an example wastewater project see this project in Morocco From wastewater to oasis: Greening the desert

This is another in Egypt

As for the salt water greenhouses, this is an Australian desert project. The sea water is used to make water through the sunlight in the desert, and cool down the greenhouses.

These ideas could be used to reverse desertification in the Sahara desert and other deserts. In this panel, hot dry dusty air from the desert blows through a honeycomb wall soaked in sea water. The air becomes humid, blows across the growing area and then some of it condenses on a second panel. The moist air then blows out of the greenhouse leading to benefits to the desert outside as well, plants may grow outside downwind of the greenhouse.

So, it not only lets you grow crops in the greenhouses - it can also help make the surrounding areas more habitable, so you’d get trees and crops growing in an area around the greenhouses as well.

All this vegetation has grown spontaneously around the Tenerife seawater greenhouse due to the moist air, just two years after it was installed:

This is what it was like before:

So, this doesn’t extract anything from desert aquifers, rather, it adds to them.

Sundrop farms have a large area set out for greenhouses like this now, in the middle of a desert, so this is taking off in a big way in Australia. Early days yet though. More about it here.

This is a PBS News story about work to green deserts in Qatar peninsula in the Persian gulf, which covers the similar Sahara forest project

The Sahara desert was humid and covered in grassland and lakes as recently as 5000 years ago, the African humid period. The German explorer Heinrich Barth was the first to discover these myserious paintings in the mid 1800s (see Green Sahara: African Humid Periods Paced by Earth's Orbital Changes).

Right in the middle of the Sahara desert, a few thousand years ago, ancient African people did rock carvings and paintings of abundant elephants, giraffes, aurochs (primitive cattle), hippos and antelopes pursued by hunters. The reason is that these creatures did roam the Sahara as recently as 5000 years ago.

There is similar rock art in the Cave of Swimmers in Egypt.

The Saharan green period started about 14,500 years ago and it’s a 25,772 year cycle. If we wait 11,500 years the Sahara may become green again naturally, giving us an extra area for agriculture more than two and a half times the area of India.

Meanwhile, if we can find a way to bring more water to the Sahara desert, perhaps with the saltwater greenhouses, more efficient use of irrigation or other methods, there is lots of potentially fertile soil there. Seen in this way, most deserts are really just potential future farmland without the water.

This is one of the sections from my

We can feed everyone through to 2100 and beyond

Saving insect diversity

Many measures that countries are taking to help support pollination of their crops. For instance Malaysia’s “stingless bees” project.

These are a different species from honey bees that are adapted to tropical and subtropical species and are better able to pollinate their crops than traditional honey bees. And they do also produce honey. Stingless Bees - Facts, Information & Pictures

Germany has started an Action Programme for Insect Protection which is here (you can use google translate to see it in English): Insektenschutz

UN report is far from bleak - an encouraging survey of measures being used to preserve biodiversity - many knowledge gaps and issues but also much we can do

Saved giant panda, and humpback whale (and many other species)

Giant Panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) previously listed as Endangered is now down-listed to Vulnerable (Good news for Giant Panda) and the humpback whale from vulnerable to least concern in 2008. (IUCN Red List) and many others.

Seed vault in Svalbard

If the power failed it would go up to - 8 or - 7 C after a few years, but even at that temperature most of the seeds would be viable for 20 to 30 years so you have lots of time to decide what to do if power doesn’t get restored. So it is a safe place for the world’s seeds.There are seeds there to restore the world’s agriculture even if there were no other seeds left in the entire world. Not just the main crops but numerous wild varieties for each one. Our seed crops are not going to go extinct.

https://youtu.be/QHw4AxJX5Wo

The Millennium Seed Bank is another major seed bank, largest seed bank in the world, with an aim to have 25% of the world's seeds by 2020. It already has all the UK's seeds apart from a few either too rare to collect the seeds, or that have seeds that can't be preserved.

Working together worldwide on big projects - climate change

We are making huge progress on climate change. For instance jScotland committed to zero emissions by 2045, and the UK to zero emissions by 2050 which makes it the first G7 country to become 1.5 C compatibe.

For decades there were many people concerned but not much got done despite many tries at it.

Since 2016 suddenly lots of people are doing loads of things, and for the first time we have real hard commitments and wind turbines everywhere and masses of solar farms and China building the largest solar farms in the world - it is all beyond incredible even - if you'd asked me in 2015 I would never have expected this, but instead of saying "Wow" everyone is saying "Look we aren't doing anything".

But back in 2015 hardly anyone was saying "look we aren't doing anything". It is all back to front.

And it is not too late at all. We still have a decade to get on track to knock another 1.5 C off that 3 C for the easiest path to 1.5 C, having already knocked 1 C off 4 C in just two years. That is why I wrote this

Worldwide we are collaborating together, sharing technology and solutions and ideas, for instance to adapt to rising sea levels

Rising Seas - Ingenious Ways Netherlands, Florida And Bangladesh Can Adapt - Barriers And Sponges - And Floating Gardens

Found a solution to biodiversity loss

A UN study has analysed the reasons we continue to lose species to extinction, and found a solution Not only that, they found a solution that is practical, feasible, makes economic sense, and has preliminary government interest too, to the extent that over 100 governments were happy to sign off on their conclusions as a “summary for policy makers”.

They did the most rigorous analysis ever done of such a situation involving experts in social sciences and economics as well as the natural sciences. From their analysis it has become clear, not only why we are losing so many species, not only how to fix it, but that we all benefit too, individuals, businesses, governments.

If we want it, this is a future world we can choose for ourselves by the actions we do right now. What’s more, we have time to act too.

Many telescopes looking for asteroids and comets to protect us from impacts

We have built many HUGE telescopes that are out looking for asteroids and comets every single night. They have already discovered all the ones of 10 km or larger that come close to Earth, large enough to have seriously bad effects on our global climate, and none of those can hit for thousands of years.

They have found 95% of those of 1 km or large enough, large enough to have some global effects, and none of those have any chance until 2880 (minute chance from 1950 DA), one other in the list expected to be removed as soon as it is next spotted (2010 GD37).

The last time anything this big hit us was before the evolution of Neanderthals, 700,000 years ago (Neanderthals go back to 400,000 years ago)

Asteriod 2010 GD37 (1.26 km) is NOT EXPECTED TO HIT EARTH in December 2019 - and NO, NASA did not issue an impact warning!

Highly unlikely that there are any left to be found with only one with a possible impact in 2880 out of 95%. If there are any left, then most likely decades to millennia of warning, and with warning, we know how to deflect them.

We can spot half of even the smaller 20 meter ones with plenty of warning to evacuate a city:

And NASA have never issued any asteroid warning.

If they ever do, this is by far the most likely warning:

I cover ATLAS here:What is the probability of the Earth being hit devastatingly by a large comet or asteroid?

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